Nikkabu

Backtest Results

Full disclosure of simulation results for the trading system. Once live operations begin, this page will remain as a reference to the historical simulation.

Period
2008-01-01 - 2024-12-31
Independent seeds
Averaged over 10 runs

Summary

Cumulative Return

+583.00%

CAGR

+11.88%

Sharpe Ratio

1.031 Β± 0.137

Max Drawdown

-30.25%

Win Rate

58.20%

Alpha vs TOPIX

+4.28%

Equity Curve

Base = 100. Strategy and benchmark (TOPIX) overlaid on the same scale.

Annual Returns

YearStrategyTOPIXDiff
2008-8.0%-40.0%+32.0%
2009+14.1%+11.7%+2.4%
2010+6.7%-3.0%+9.7%
2011+8.9%-13.8%+22.7%
2012+29.5%+55.4%-25.9%
2013+16.5%+9.2%+7.3%
2014+18.5%+10.5%+8.0%
2015+12.4%-5.7%+18.1%
2016+18.4%+22.2%-3.8%
2017+14.5%-3.3%+17.8%
2018+13.9%+17.9%-4.0%
2019+16.9%+11.6%+5.3%
2020+15.4%+9.1%+6.3%
2021+11.4%-5.9%+17.3%
2022+10.0%+23.4%-13.4%
2023+9.3%+12.8%-3.5%
2024+9.3%+12.8%-3.5%

Drawdown Profile

Worst Drawdown

-30.25%

Average Drawdown

-8.50%

Longest Recovery

14 months

Drawdowns beyond -10%

6

Drawdowns beyond -20%

2

Notes

  • Values on this page are simulation results based on historical data, not live trading outcomes.
  • Spreads, slippage, taxes, FX, and liquidity shifts are not fully captured. Live results will diverge accordingly.
  • Strategy logic, security selection, allocation, and rebalance frequency are intentionally not disclosed.
  • TOPIX is used as the simulation benchmark.